Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 193.673222 232.604744 281.408185 348.688545 441.783085 5.706393e+02 771.700202
2024-12-29 150.017656 196.351558 262.823309 371.189876 557.637187 9.009236e+02 1706.908115
2025-01-05 120.112650 164.371426 232.640078 355.300451 597.912469 1.148523e+03 3024.436217
2025-01-12 104.322212 147.952778 219.380631 358.969166 673.287057 1.560730e+03 6508.504418
2025-01-19 91.319717 132.790836 203.629467 350.992737 718.695521 1.978186e+03 14574.031411
2025-01-26 87.146146 130.981396 210.269773 390.350073 914.838582 3.427218e+03 168998.227256
2025-02-02 85.969246 133.882725 226.176401 458.245144 1281.307484 8.044540e+03 NaN
2025-02-09 78.685045 124.482445 215.240884 454.637397 1393.392785 1.234198e+04 NaN
2025-02-16 73.537047 118.283848 209.686390 463.770480 1583.510340 2.335334e+04 NaN
2025-02-23 69.178649 112.967944 204.946741 473.677758 1806.240720 5.439640e+04 NaN
2025-03-02 65.778196 109.063178 202.606197 490.539253 2120.230280 2.387443e+05 NaN
2025-03-09 62.487015 104.953152 198.992600 502.063002 2445.630611 9.515573e+06 NaN
2025-03-16 57.017465 96.330715 184.366507 474.237812 2450.682088 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 54.808107 94.315067 185.962231 509.418262 3240.076766 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 50.532577 87.393432 173.734950 484.478315 3283.519896 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 47.883377 83.676513 169.233370 490.215889 3835.433201 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 44.927061 78.974814 161.307912 477.757200 4087.902248 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 44.493300 79.778907 168.531329 539.794944 6586.970558 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 44.931920 82.606019 182.285392 650.064543 14867.019396 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 42.702255 78.954242 175.995146 644.103954 17760.113474 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 41.078240 76.583211 173.262610 659.215005 24969.143036 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 39.604431 74.428124 170.840950 675.687898 37237.959473 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 38.419550 72.859784 170.041219 703.915991 67244.013794 NaN NaN